The estimate will be counted:
- 20% of points based on the history placings: Average placings in finals 2004-2019 (21st March)
- 20% of points based on the Pre-chart 2021 (11th May)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (16th May)
- 20% of points based on the Spotify streams (15th May)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) This will be judged according to the rehearsals in Rotterdam. (16th May)
| POS | FINAL | SEMI1 | SEMI2 | COUNTRY | HISTORY | PRE-CHART | ODDS | STREAMS | EXPERTISE | TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1(1) | - | - | | Italy | | | | | | +23 |
| 2 | 2(2) | - | - | | France | | | | | | +15 |
| 3 | 3(3) | - | 1(1) | | Switzerland | | | | | | +15 |
| 4 | 4(16) | 1(6) | - | | Cyprus | | | | | | +14 |
| 5 | 5(8) | 2(4) | - | | Lithuania | | | | | | +14 |
| 6 | 6(10) | - | 2(6) | | Greece | | | | | | +14 |
| 7 | 7(5) | 3(2) | - | | Ukraine | | | | | | +13 |
| 8 | 8(9) | 4(3) | - | | Russia | | | | | | +13 |
| 9 | 9(14) | 5(7) | - | | Sweden | | | | | | +12 |
| 10 | 10(11) | - | 3(3) | | Bulgaria | | | | | | +11 |
| 11 | 11(6) | - | 4(5) | | Finland | | | | | | +11 |
| 12 | 12(4) | - | 5(2) | | Iceland | | | | | | +11 |
| 13 | 13(7) | 6(1) | - | | Malta | | | | | | +11 |
| 14 | 14(19) | 7(9) | - | | Belgium | | | | | | +8 |
| 15 | 15(22) | - | 6(9) | | San Marino | | | | | | +7 |
| 16 | 16(-) | 8(12) | - | | Romania | | | | | | +7 |
| 17 | 17(18) | 9(10) | - | | Norway | | | | | | +7 |
| 18 | 18(-) | - | 7(11) | | Denmark | | | | | | +3 |
| 19 | 19(20) | 10(8) | - | | Azerbaijan | | | | | | +2 |
| 20 | -(17) | 11(5) | - | | Israel | | | | | | +1 |
| 21 | 20(13) | - | 8(7) | | Moldova | | | | | | -2 |
| 22 | -(-) | 12(11) | - | | Croatia | | | | | | -3 |
| 23 | 21(12) | - | 9(4) | | Portugal | | | | | | -4 |
| 24 | 22(15) | - | 10(8) | | Serbia | | | | | | -4 |
| 25 | 23(23) | - | - | | Netherlands | | | | | | -5 |
| 26 | -(-) | - | 11(17) | | Latvia | | | | | | -7 |
| 27 | -(-) | 13(14) | - | | Australia | | | | | | -7 |
| 28 | -(-) | - | 12(12) | | Austria | | | | | | -8 |
| 29 | -(-) | 14(16) | - | | Ireland | | | | | | -9 |
| 30 | -(21) | - | 13(10) | | Albania | | | | | | -10 |
| 31 | 24(26) | - | - | | United Kingdom | | | | | | -12 |
| 32 | 25(25) | - | - | | Germany | | | | | | -12 |
| 33 | -(-) | - | 14(13) | | Estonia | | | | | | -13 |
| 34 | -(-) | 15(15) | - | | North Macedonia | | | | | | -14 |
| 35 | 26(24) | - | - | | Spain | | | | | | -15 |
| 36 | -(-) | - | 15(15) | | Czech Republic | | | | | | -16 |
| 37 | -(-) | - | 16(16) | | Georgia | | | | | | -19 |
| 38 | -(-) | - | 17(14) | | Poland | | | | | | -22 |
| 39 | -(-) | 16(13) | - | | Slovenia | | | | | | -23 |
- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2004-2019) counts
 |  |  |
| #1 Italy: Måneskin | #2 France: Barbara Pravi | #3 Switzerland: Gjon's Tears |
| # | COUNTRY | PERFORMER(S) | TITLE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Albania | Anxhela Peristeri | Karma |
| 2 | | Australia | Montaigne | Technicolour |
| 3 | | Austria | Vincent Bueno | Amen |
| 4 | | Azerbaijan | Efendi | Mata Hari |
| 5 | | Belgium | Hooverphonic | The wrong place |
| 6 | | Bulgaria | Victoria | Growing up is getting old |
| 7 | | Croatia | Albina | Tick-Tock |
| 8 | | Cyprus | Elena Tsagrinou | El diablo |
| 9 | | Czech Republic | Benny Cristo | omaga |
| 10 | | Denmark | Fyr & Flamme | Øve os på hinanden |
| 11 | | Estonia | Uku Suviste | The lucky one |
| 12 | | Finland | Blind Channel | Dark side |
| 13 | | France | Barbara Pravi | Voilà |
| 14 | | Georgia | Tornike Kipiani | You |
| 15 | | Germany | Jendrik | I don't feel hate |
| 16 | | Greece | Stefania | Last dance |
| 17 | | Iceland | Daði & Gagnamagnið | 10 years |
| 18 | | Ireland | Lesley Roy | Maps |
| 19 | | Israel | Eden Alene | Set me free |
| 20 | | Italy | Måneskin | Zitti e buoni |
| 21 | | Latvia | Samanta Tīna | The moon is rising |
| 22 | | Lithuania | The Roop | Discoteque |
| 23 | | Malta | Destiny | Je me casse |
| 24 | | Moldova | Natalia Gordienko | Sugar |
| 25 | | Netherlands | Jeangu Macrooy | Birth of a new age |
| 26 | | North Macedonia | Vasil | Here I stand |
| 27 | | Norway | TIX | Fallen angel |
| 28 | | Poland | RAFAŁ | The ride |
| 29 | | Portugal | The Black Mamba | Love is on my side |
| 30 | | Romania | Roxen | Amnesia |
| 31 | | Russia | Manizha | Russian woman |
| 32 | | San Marino | Senhit | Adrenalina |
| 33 | | Serbia | Hurricane | Loco loco |
| 34 | | Slovenia | Ana Soklič | Amen |
| 35 | | Spain | Blas Cantó | Voy a quedarme |
| 36 | | Sweden | Tusse | Voices |
| 37 | | Switzerland | Gjon's Tears | Tout l'univers |
| 38 | | Ukraine | Go_A | Shum |
| 39 | | United Kingdom | James Newman | Embers |
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