10th, 12th & 14th May
The estimate will be counted:
- 20% of points based on the history placings: Average placings in finals 2004-2021 (15th March)
- 20% of points based on the National Jury Score 2022, based on Pre-chart (30th April)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (4th May)
- 20% of points based on the Spotify streams (3rd May)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) This will be judged according to the rehearsals in Turin. (8th May)
| POS | FINAL | SEMI1 | SEMI2 | COUNTRY | HISTORY | PRE-CHART | ODDS | STREAMS | EXPERTISE | TOTAL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1(4) | - | 1(1) |  | Sweden |  | | | | | +24 |
| 2 | 2(6) | - | - | | Italy | | | | | | +23 |
| 3 | 3(1) | 1(1) | - |  | Ukraine | | | | | | +22 |
| 4 | 4(11) | 2(2) | - |  | Netherlands | | | | | | +17 |
| 5 | 5(10) | 3(6) | - |  | Norway | | | | | | +15 |
| 6 | 6(12) | - | 2(6) |  | Poland |  | | | | | +12 |
| 7 | 7(5) | - | 3(3) |  | Serbia | | | | | | +12 |
| 8 | 8(2) | - | - |  | United Kingdom | | | | | | +12 |
| 9 | 9(8) | 4(3) | - |  | Greece | | | | | | +12 |
| 10 | 10(3) | - | - |  | Spain | | | | | | +11 |
| 11 | 11(15) | - | 4(2) |  | Australia | | | | | | +10 |
| 12 | 12(19) | - | 5(8) |  | Belgium | | | | | | +7 |
| 13 | 13(24) | - | - |  | France | | | | | | +7 |
| 14 | 14(20) | 5(5) | - |  | Armenia | | | | | | +6 |
| 15 | 15(13) | - | 6(5) |  | Estonia | | | | | | +5 |
| 16 | 16(-) | - | 7(12) |  | Cyprus | | | | | | +4 |
| 17 | 17(25) | - | - |  | Germany | | | | | | +3 |
| 18 | 18(9) | 6(4) | - |  | Portugal | | | | | | +3 |
| 19 | 19(-) | 7(12) | - |  | Albania | | | | | | +1 |
| 20 | 20(22) | - | 8(4) |  | Czech Republic | | | | | | -1 |
| 21 | 21(16) | - | 9(10) |  | Azerbaijan | | | | | | -2 |
| 22 | 22(21) | - | 10(7) |  | Finland | | | | | | -2 |
| 23 | 23(-) | 8(15) | - |  | Austria | | | | | | -2 |
| 24 | 24(7) | 9(8) | - |  | Moldova | | | | | | -3 |
| 25 | 25(23) | 10(10) | - |  | Iceland | | | | | | -5 |
| 26 | - | 11(14) | - |  | Latvia | | | | | | -5 |
| 27 | - | - | 11(14) |  | San Marino | | | | | | -7 |
| 28 | - | - | 12(16) |  | Malta | | | | | | -7 |
| 29 | -(17) | 12(9) | - |  | Switzerland | | | | | | -7 |
| 30 | -(14) | 13(7) | - |  | Lithuania | | | | | | -10 |
| 31 | -(18) | - | 13(9) |  | Romania | | | | | | -10 |
| 32 | - | - | 14(18) |  | Georgia | | | | | | -14 |
| 33 | - | 14(16) | - |  | Bulgaria | | | | | | -14 |
| 34 | - | 15(17) | - |  | Slovenia | | | | | | -15 |
| 35 | - | 16(13) | - |  | Denmark | | | | | | -15 |
| 36 | - | - | 15(15) |  | Ireland | | | | | | -16 |
| 37 | - | 17(11) | - |  | Croatia | | | | | | -17 |
| 38 | - | - | 16(13) |  | Israel | | | | | | -17 |
| 39 | - | - | 17(11) |  | North Macedonia | | | | | | -18 |
| 40 | - | - | 18(17) |  | Montenegro | | | | | | -19 |
- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2004-2021) counts
 |  |  |
| #1 Sweden: Cornelia Jakobs | #2 Italy: Mahmood & Blanco | #3 Ukraine: Kalush Orchestra |
| # | COUNTRY | PERFORMER(S) | TITLE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | | Albania | Ronela Hajati | Sekret |
| 2 | | Armenia | Rosa Linn | Snap |
| 3 | | Australia | Sheldon Riley | Not the same |
| 4 | | Austria | LUM!X feat. Pia Maria | Halo |
| 5 | | Azerbaijan | Nadir Rustamli | Fade to black |
| 6 | | Belgium | Jérémie Makiese | Miss you |
| 7 | | Bulgaria | Intelligent Music Project | Intention |
| 8 | | Croatia | Mia Dimšić | Guilty pleasure |
| 9 | | Cyprus | Andromache | Ela |
| 10 | | Czech Republic | We Are Domi | Lights off |
| 11 | | Denmark | Reddi | The show |
| 12 | | Estonia | Stefan | Hope |
| 13 | | Finland | The Rasmus | Jezebel |
| 14 | | France | Alvan & Ahez | Fulenn |
| 15 | | Georgia | Circus Mircus | Lock me in |
| 16 | | Germany | Malik Harris | Rockstars |
| 17 | | Greece | Amanda Tenfjord | Die together |
| 18 | | Iceland | Sigga, Beta & Elín | Međ hćkkandi sól |
| 19 | | Ireland | Brooke | That's rich |
| 20 | | Israel | Michael Ben David | I.M |
| 21 | | Italy | Mahmood & Blanco | Brividi |
| 22 | | Latvia | Citi Zēni | Eat your salad |
| 23 | | Lithuania | Monika Liu | Sentimentai |
| 24 | | Malta | Emma Muscat | I am what I am |
| 25 | | Moldova | Zdob şi Zdub & Fraţii Advahov | Trenuleţul |
| 26 | | Montenegro | Vladana | Breathe |
| 27 | | Netherlands | S10 | De diepte |
| 28 | | North Macedonia | Andrea | Circles |
| 29 | | Norway | Subwoolfer | Give that wolf a banana |
| 30 | | Poland | Ochman | River |
| 31 | | Portugal | MARO | Saudade, saudade |
| 32 | | Romania | WRS | Llámame |
| 33 | | San Marino | Achille Lauro | Stripper |
| 34 | | Serbia | Konstrakta | In corpore sano |
| 35 | | Slovenia | LPS | Disko |
| 36 | | Spain | Chanel | SloMo |
| 37 | | Sweden | Cornelia Jakobs | Hold me closer |
| 38 | | Switzerland | Marius Bear | Boys do cry |
| 39 | | Ukraine | Kalush Orchestra | Stefania |
| 40 | | United Kingdom | Sam Ryder | Space man |
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