The Winner Estimate of ESC 2025

Switzerland

Basel, Switzerland
13th, 15th & 17th May 2025



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Info page of 2025
Pre-chart of 2025
National jury score 2025

The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2019-2024: based on Average placings, last 5 finals (21st March)
- 20% of points based on the Pre-chart 2025 (17th April)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (10th May)
- 20% of points based on the streams on Spotify 1.-8.5.2025: esc_charts (8th May)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (11th May)

See how we estimated last year!

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Winner Estimate 2025

(real results in brackets)

final update 11th May 2025

POSFINALSEMI1SEMI2 COUNTRYHISTORYPRE-CHARTODDSSTREAMSEXPERTISETOTAL
11 (4)1 (4)-SwedenSweden+24
22 (12)2 (3)-NetherlandsNetherlands+20
33 (11)-1 (3)FinlandFinland+18
44 (7)--FranceFrance+18
55 (2)-2 (1)IsraelIsrael+15
66 (1)-3 (5)AustriaAustria+14
77 (5)--ItalyItaly+14
88 (17)-4 (9)MaltaMalta+13
99 (3)3 (5)-EstoniaEstonia+11
1010 (8)4 (2)-AlbaniaAlbania+10
1111 (-)-5 (11)AustraliaAustralia+10
1212 (-)-6 (12)CzechiaCzechia+9
1313 (10)--SwitzerlandSwitzerland+9
1414 (24)--SpainSpain+8
1515 (6)-7 (4)GreeceGreece+8
1616 (26)5 (10)-San MarinoSan Marino+3
1717 (18)6 (8)-NorwayNorway+3
1818 (9)7 (1)-UkraineUkraine+2
1919 (-)-8 (13)IrelandIreland+2
2020 (15)--GermanyGermany0
2121 (-)8 (11)-CyprusCyprus-1
2222 (14)9 (7)-PolandPoland-2
2323 (22)-9 (7)LuxembourgLuxembourg-2
2424 (25)10 (6)-IcelandIceland-3
2525 (23)-10 (8)DenmarkDenmark-3
26- (16)-11 (6)LithuaniaLithuania-4
27-11 (15)-BelgiumBelgium-4
2826 (19)--United KingdomUnited Kingdom-9
29- (21)12 (9)-PortugalPortugal-11
30-13 (16)-AzerbaijanAzerbaijan-12
31--12 (14)SerbiaSerbia-13
32-14 (12)-CroatiaCroatia-15
33- (20)-13 (10)ArmeniaArmenia-16
34- (13)-14 (2)LatviaLatvia-17
35-15 (14)-SloveniaSlovenia-19
36--15 (16)MontenegroMontenegro-21
37--16 (15)GeorgiaGeorgia-25
Q = qualified

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2019-2024) counts

#1 Sweden: KAJ#2 Netherlands: Claude#3 Finland: Erika Vikman


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Here are the entries in ESC 2023:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaShkodra ElektronikeZjerm
2ArmeniaPargSurvivor
3AustraliaGo-JoMilkshake man
4AustriaJJWasted love
5AzerbaijanMamagamaRun with U
6BelgiumRed SebastianStrobe lights
7CroatiaMarko BošnjakPoison cake
8CyprusTheo EvanShh
9CzechiaADONXSKiss kiss goodbye
10DenmarkSissalHallucination
11EstoniaTommy CashEspresso macchiato
12FinlandErika VikmanIch komme
13FranceLouaneMaman
14GeorgiaMariam ShengeliaFreedom
15GermanyAbor & TynnaBaller
16GreeceKlavdiaAsteromáta
17IcelandVæbRóa
18IrelandEmmyLaika party
19IsraelYuval RaphaelNew day will rise
20ItalyLucio CorsiVolevo essere un duro
21LatviaTautumeitasBur man laimi
22LithuaniaKatarsisTavo akys
23LuxembourgLaura ThornLa poupée monte le son
24MaltaMiriana ConteServing
25MontenegroNina ŽižićDobrodošli
26NetherlandsClaudeC'est la vie
27NorwayKyle AlessandroLighter
28PolandJustyna SteczkowskaGaja
29PortugalNAPADeslocado
30San MarinoGabry PonteTutta l'Italia
31SerbiaPrincMila
32SloveniaKlemenHow much time do we have left
33SpainMelodyEsa diva
34SwedenKAJBara bada bastu
35SwitzerlandZoë MëVoyage
36UkraineZiferblatBird of pray
37United KingdomRemember MondayWhat the hell just happened?

ESCSTATS.COM is in no way officially connected to or endorsed by the Eurovision Song Contest organisation.


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