The Winner Estimate of ESC 2026

Switzerland

Vienna, Austria
12th, 14th and 16th May 2026


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Info page of 2026
Pre-chart of 2026

The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2021-2025: modified from Average placings (21st January)
- 20% of points based on the Pre-chart 2025 (coming later)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (19th February)
- 20% of points based on the streams on Spotify: (coming later))
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (coming later)

See how we estimated last year!

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Winner Estimate 2026

(real results in brackets)

updated 19th February 2026

POSFINALSEMI1SEMI2 COUNTRYHISTORYPRE-CHARTODDSSTREAMSEXPERTISETOTAL
111-SwedenSweden+10
222-IsraelIsrael+9
333-GreeceGreece+9
44--ItalyItaly+9
554-FinlandFinland+8
66--FranceFrance+8
77-1UkraineUkraine+8
88-2BulgariaBulgaria+5
99-3SwitzerlandSwitzerland+5
1010-4NorwayNorway+4
1111-5ArmeniaArmenia+3
1212--United KingdomUnited Kingdom+2
1313-6CyprusCyprus+2
1414-7MaltaMalta+1
1515-8LuxembourgLuxembourg+1
1616-9AustraliaAustralia0
17175-CroatiaCroatia0
1818-10DenmarkDenmark-1
19196-LithuaniaLithuania-1
20207-EstoniaEstonia-1
21218-MoldovaMoldova-1
22229-SerbiaSerbia-1
2323--GermanyGermany-2
24--11RomaniaRomania-3
252410-BelgiumBelgium-3
2625--AustriaAustria-3
27-11-PortugalPortugal-3
28-12-PolandPoland-4
29--12CzechiaCzechia-5
30--13LatviaLatvia-5
31--14AzerbaijanAzerbaijan-7
32-13-GeorgiaGeorgia-8
33--15AlbaniaAlbania-8
34-14-San MarinoSan Marino-9
35-15-MontenegroMontenegro-10
Q = qualified

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2021-2025) counts



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Here are the entries in ESC 2023:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlisNân
2Armenia
3Australia
4Austria
5Azerbaijan
6BelgiumEssylaDancing on the ice
7Bulgaria
8CroatiaLelekAndromeda
9CyprusAntigoniJalla
10Czechia
11DenmarkSøren TorpegaardFør vi går hjem
12EstoniaVanilla NinjaToo epic to be true
13Finland
14France
15GeorgiaBzikebi
16Germany
17GreeceAkylasFerto
18IsraelNoam Bettan
19Italy
20Latvia
21Lithuania
22LuxembourgEva MarijaMother nature
23MaltaAidanBella
24MoldovaSatoshiViva, Moldova!
25MontenegroTamara ŽivkovićNova zora
26Norway
27Poland
28Portugal
29Romania
30San Marino
31Serbia
32Sweden
33SwitzerlandVeronica Fusaro
34UkraineLelékaRidnym
35United KingdomLOOK MUM NO COMPUTER

ESCSTATS.COM is in no way officially connected to or endorsed by the Eurovision Song Contest organisation.


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