Estimate of the winner of ESC 2009

Russia

Moscow, Russia
semifinals 12th & 14th May
final 16th May

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The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the history points given by national juries 1975-2008, i.g. Points of Finland
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (15th April)
- 20% of points based on the points given by national juries of Pre-chart of 2009
- 20% of points based on the show (choreography, live singing, dresses etc.) This will be judged during rehearsals in Moscow.
- 20% of points based on the phenomenon (media interest, audience reactions etc.) This will be judged during rehearsals and press conferences in Moscow.

See how we estimated last year!

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Estimate of the winner of ESC 2009
(real results in brackets)

updated 11th May 2009

IN FINALSEMI 1SEMI 2 COUNTRYHISTORYODDSCHARTSHOWPHENOMENONTOTAL
1(7)-1(4)GreeceGreece+24
2(3)-2(2)AzerbaijanAzerbaijan+24
3(1)-3(1)NorwayNorway+21
4(9)1(3)-Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina+21
5(4)2(2)-TurkeyTurkey+20
6(21)3(4)-SwedenSweden+20
7(12)-4(6)UkraineUkraine+17
8(6)-5(3)EstoniaEstonia+15
9(11)--RussiaRussia+15
10(8)--FranceFrance+14
11(5)--United KingdomUnited Kingdom+14
12(10)4(5)-ArmeniaArmenia+12
13(2)5(1)-IcelandIceland+11
14(16)6(7)-IsraelIsrael+11
15(14)7(6)-MaltaMalta+9
16(23)--SpainSpain+4
17(25)8(12)-FinlandFinland+4
18-6(10)SerbiaSerbia+2
19(17)-7(7)AlbaniaAlbania0
20(23)-8(9)LithuaniaLithuania0
21(13)-9(8)DenmarkDenmark-1
22(14)-10(5)MoldovaMoldova-2
23(19)9(9)-RomaniaRomania-4
2410(16)-BulgariaBulgaria-4
-(15)11(8)-PortugalPortugal-5
-12(13)-BelarusBelarus-5
-13(14)-SwitzerlandSwitzerland-7
-14(11)-MontenegroMontenegro-8
--11(11)IrelandIreland-8
-15(15)-AndorraAndorra-10
--12(15)HungaryHungary-10
25(20)--GermanyGermany-11
-(18)-13(13)CroatiaCroatia-14
-16(10)-FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia-14
--14(14)CyprusCyprus-15
--15(16)SloveniaSlovenia-15
-17(17)-BelgiumBelgium-17
--16(19)LatviaLatvia-18
--17(12)PolandPoland-20
-18(18)-Czech RepublicCzech Republic-22
--18(18)SlovakiaSlovakia-23
--19(17)NetherlandsNetherlands-23

- if there's was tie, better pre-chart position counts

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Here are the entries in ESC 2009:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlbaniaKejsi TolaCarry me in your dreams
2AndorraAndorraSusanne GeorgiLa teva decisió (Get a life)
3ArmeniaArmeniaInga & AnushJan jan
4AzerbaijanAzerbaijanAySel & ArashAlways
5BelarusBelarusPetr ElfimovEyes that never lie
6BelgiumBelgiumCopycatCopycat
7Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & HerzegovinaReginaBistra voda
8BulgariaBulgariaKrassimir AvramovIllusion
9CroatiaCroatiaIgor Cukrov feat. AndreaLiepa tena
10CyprusCyprusChristina MetaxaFirefly
11Czech RepublicCzech RepublicGipsy.czAven romale
12DenmarkDenmarkBrinckBelieve again
13EstoniaEstoniaUrban SymphonyRändajad
14FinlandFinlandWaldo's PeopleLose control
15FranceFrancePatricia KaasEt s'il fallait le faire
16FYR MacedoniaFYR MacedoniaNext TimeNeshto shto ke ostane
17GermanyGermanyAlex Swings Oscar Sings!Miss kiss kiss bang
18GreeceGreeceSakis RouvasThis is our night
19HungaryHungaryZoli ÁdokDance with me
20IcelandIcelandYohannaIs it true?
21IrelandIrelandSinéad Mulvey & Black DaisyEt cetera
22IsraelIsraelNoa & Mira AwadThere must be another way
23LatviaLatviaIntars BusulisProbka
24LithuaniaLithuaniaSasha SonLove
25MaltaMaltaChiaraWhat if we
26MoldovaMoldovaNelly CiobanuHora din Moldova
27MontenegroMontenegroAndrea DemirovicJust get out of my life
28NetherlandsNetherlandsDe ToppersShine
29NorwayNorwayAlexander RybakFairytale
30PolandPolandLidia KopaniaI don't wanna leave
31PortugalPortugalFlor-de-lisTodas as ruas do amor
32RomaniaRomaniaElenaThe Balkan girls
33RussiaRussiaAnastasia PrikhodkoMamo
34SerbiaSerbiaMarko Kon & MilaanCipela
35SlovakiaSlovakiaKamil Mikulcík & Nela PociskováLet' tmou
36SloveniaSloveniaQuartissimo feat. MartinaLove symphony
37SpainSpainSorayaLa noche es para mí
38SwedenSwedenMalena ErnmanLa voix
39SwitzerlandSwitzerlandLovebugsThe highest heights
40TurkeyTurkeyHadiseDüm tek tek
41UkraineUkraineSvetlana LobodaBe my Valentine! (anti-crisis girl)
42United KingdomUnited KingdomJade EwenMy time
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