Estimate of the winner of ESC 2011

Germany

Düsseldorf, Germany
semifinals 10th & 12th May
final 14th May

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The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the history points (half based on the points given by national juries 2004-2010, i.g. Points of Finland and half based on the average placings 1957-2010)
- 20% of points based on the points given by Pre-chart of 2011, national jury score (14th April)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (8th May)
- 20% of points based on the show (choreography, live singing, dresses etc.) This will be judged during rehearsals in Düsseldorf. (8th May)
- 20% of points based on the phenomenon (media interest, audience reactions etc.) This will be judged during rehearsals and press conferences in Düsseldorf. (8th May)

See how we estimated last year!

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Estimate of the winner of ESC 2011
(real results in brackets)

updated 8th May 2011

IN FINALSEMI 1SEMI 2 COUNTRYHISTORYCHARTODDSSHOWPHENOMENONTOTAL
1(3)-1(1)SwedenSweden+22
2(11)--United KingdomUnited Kingdom+21
3(1)1(2)-AzerbaijanAzerbaijan+21
4(6)-2(5)Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina+20
5(15)--FranceFrance+19
6(24)-3(9)EstoniaEstonia+19
7(5)-4(2)DenmarkDenmark+18
8(10)--GermanyGermany+16
9(16)2(9)-RussiaRussia+15
10(-)3(17)-NorwayNorway+13
11(8)-5(8)IrelandIreland+12
12(22)4(7)-HungaryHungary+12
13(7)5(1)-GreeceGreece+12
14(4)-6(6)UkraineUkraine+11
15(21)6(3)-FinlandFinland+9
16(2)--ItalyItaly+9
17(13)-7(3)SloveniaSlovenia+6
18(14)7(8)-SerbiaSerbia+5
19(-)8(12)-TurkeyTurkey+4
20(-)-8(15)IsraelIsrael+4
21(-)9(12)-ArmeniaArmenia+3
22(18)-9(7)AustriaAustria+1
23(-)10(14)-AlbaniaAlbania-2
-11(19)-PolandPoland-2
-(9)12(6)-GeorgiaGeorgia-2
24(17)-10(4)RomaniaRomania-3
-(20)13(4)-IcelandIceland-4
--11(18)CyprusCyprus-4
-(25)14(10)-SwitzerlandSwitzerland-6
--12(17)LatviaLatvia-9
-(12)-13(10)MoldovaMoldova-11
-(19)15(5)-LithuaniaLithuania-12
--14(12)BulgariaBulgaria-13
--15(19)NetherlandsNetherlands-13
-16(11)-MaltaMalta-15
-17(18)-PortugalPortugal-15
25(23)--SpainSpain-15
--16(13)SlovakiaSlovakia-16
--17(14)BelarusBelarus-16
--18(11)BelgiumBelgium-17
-18(15)-CroatiaCroatia-18
--19(16)FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia-22
-19(16)-San MarinoSan Marino-24

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: phenomenon, show, odds, pre-chart and history

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Here are the entries in ESC 2011:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlbaniaAurela GaçeFeel the passion
2ArmeniaArmeniaEmmyBoom-boom
3AustriaAustriaNadine BeilerThe secret is love
4AzerbaijanAzerbaijanEll & NikkiRunning scared
5BelarusBelarusAnastasiya VinnikovaI love Belarus
6BelgiumBelgiumWitloof BayWith love baby
7Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & HerzegovinaDino MerlinLove in rewind
8BulgariaBulgariaPoli GenovaNa inat
9CroatiaCroatiaDaria KinzerCelebrate
10CyprusCyprusChristos MylordosSan aggelos s'agapisa
11DenmarkDenmarkA Friend In LondonNew tomorrow
12EstoniaEstoniaGetter JaaniRockefeller street
13FinlandFinlandParadise OskarDa da dam
14FranceFranceAmaury VassiliSognu
15FYR MacedoniaFYR MacedoniaVlatko IlievskiRusinka
16GeorgiaGeorgiaEldrineOne more day
17GermanyGermanyLena Meyer-LandrutTaken by a stranger
18GreeceGreeceLoukas Giorkas feat. Stereo MikeWatch my dance
19HungaryHungaryKati WolfWhat about my dreams
20IcelandIcelandSjonni's FriendsComing home
21IrelandIrelandJedwardLipstick
22IsraelIsraelDana InternationalDing dong
23ItalyItalyRaphael GualazziMadness of love
24LatviaLatviaMusiqqAngel in disguise
25LithuaniaLithuaniaEvelina SašenkoC'est ma vie
26MaltaMaltaGlen VellaOne life
27MoldovaMoldovaZdop si ZdupSo lucky
28NetherlandsNetherlands3JSNever alone
29NorwayNorwayStella MwangiHaba haba
30PolandPolandMagdalena TulJestem
31PortugalPortugalHomens da LutaLuta é alegria
32RomaniaRomaniaHotel FMChange
33RussiaRussiaAlexey VorobyovGet you
34San MarinoSan MarinoSenitStand by
35SerbiaSerbiaNinaCaroban
36SlovakiaSlovakiaTWiiNSI'm still alive
37SloveniaSloveniaMaja KeucNo one
38SpainSpainLucía PérezQue me quiten lo bailao
39SwedenSwedenEric SaadePopular
40SwitzerlandSwitzerlandAnna RossinelliIn love for a while
41TurkeyTurkeyYüksek SadakatLive it up
42UkraineUkraineMika NewtonAngel
43United KingdomUnited KingdomBlueI can
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