The Winner Estimate of ESC 2015

Austria

Vienna, Austria
semifinals 19th & 21st May
final 23rd May

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The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the history points (received points 2004-2014 modified from Average points 1975-2014 (24th March)
- 20% of points based on the National Jury Score 2015, based on Pre-chart (4th May)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (18th May)
- 20% of points based on the show (choreography, live singing, dresses etc.) This will be judged according to the rehearsals in Vienna. (18th May)
- 20% of points based on the phenomenon (media interest, audience reactions etc.) This will be judged according to the rehearsals in Vienna. (18th May)

See how we estimated last year!

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Winner Estimate 2015


(real results in brackets)


final update 18th May 2015 (results 26th May)

FINALSEMI1SEMI2 COUNTRYHISTORYCHARTODDSSHOWPHENOMENONTOTAL
1(1)1(1)SwedenSweden+24
2(3)ItalyItaly+23
3(2)1(1)RussiaRussia+22
4(8)2(4)NorwayNorway+21
5(5)AustraliaAustralia+18
6(12)3(10)AzerbaijanAzerbaijan+16
7(7)2(3)EstoniaEstonia+15
8(4)3(2)BelgiumBelgium+11
9(11)4(4)GeorgiaGeorgia+11
10(21)SpainSpain+10
11(14)4(5)SloveniaSlovenia+10
12(9)5(3)IsraelIsrael+9
13(6)6(2)LatviaLatvia+8
14(23)5(6)GreeceGreece+8
15(-)6(16)FinlandFinland+6
16(17)7(10)AlbaniaAlbania+5
17(-)7(15)IcelandIceland+3
18(16)8(7)ArmeniaArmenia+2
19(25)FranceFrance+1
20(15)9(5)RomaniaRomania-1
21(26)GermanyGermany-1
22(26)AustriaAustria-4
23(18)8(7)LithuaniaLithuania-4
24(20)10(8)HungaryHungary-4
25(13)9(9)MontenegroMontenegro-5
-11(12)BelarusBelarus-5
-(10)12(9)SerbiaSerbia-6
26(-)10(13)Czech RepublicCzech Republic-9
-(22)11(6)CyprusCyprus-9
-13(14)NetherlandsNetherlands-10
-14(13)DenmarkDenmark-11
-15(15)FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia-12
27(24)United KingdomUnited Kingdom-12
-(23)12(8)PolandPoland-14
-16(11)MoldovaMoldova-14
-13(11)MaltaMalta-15
-14(17)SwitzerlandSwitzerland-19
-15(12)IrelandIreland-20
-16(14)PortugalPortugal-22
-17(16)San MarinoSan Marino-25

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: phenomenon, show, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average points (2004-2014) counts


#1 Sweden: Måns Zelmerlöw#2 Italy: Il Volo#3 Russia: Polina Gagarina


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Here are the entries in ESC 2015:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlbaniaElhaida DaniI'm alive
2ArmeniaArmeniaGenealogyFace the shadow
3AustraliaAustraliaGuy SebastianTonight again
4AustriaAustriaThe MakemakesI am yours
5AzerbaijanAzerbaijanElnur HuseynovHour of the wolf
6BelarusBelarusUzari & MaimunaTime
7BelgiumBelgiumLoïc NottetRhythm inside
8CyprusCyprusJohn KarayiannisOne thing I should have done
9Czech RepublicCzech RepublicMarta Jandová & Václav Noid BártaHope never dies
10DenmarkDenmarkAnti Social MediaThe way you are
11EstoniaEstoniaElina Born & Stig RästaGoodbye to yesterday
12FinlandFinlandPertti Kurikan NimipäivätAina mun pitää
13FranceFranceLisa AngellN'oubliez pas
14FYR MacedoniaFYR MacedoniaDaniel KajmakoskiAutumn leaves
15GeorgiaGeorgiaNina SublattiWarrior
16GermanyGermanyAnn SophieBlack smoke
17GreeceGreeceMaria-Elena KyriakouOne last breath
18HungaryHungaryBoggieWars for nothing
19IcelandIcelandMaria OlafsUnbroken
20IrelandIrelandMolly SterlingPlaying with numbers
21IsraelIsraelNadav GuedjGolden boy
22ItalyItalyIl VoloGrande amore
23LatviaLatviaAminataLove injected
24LithuaniaLithuaniaMonika Linkytė & Vaidas BaumilaThis time
25MaltaMaltaAmberWarrior
26MoldovaMoldovaEduard RomanyutaI want your love
27MontenegroMontenegroKnezAdio
28NetherlandsNetherlandsTrijntje OosterhuisWalk along
29NorwayNorwayMørland & Debrah ScarlettA monster like me
30PolandPolandMonika KuszyńskaIn the name of love
31PortugalPortugalLeonor AndradeHá um mar que nos separa
32RomaniaRomaniaVoltajDe la capăt
33RussiaRussiaPolina GagarinaA million voices
34San MarinoSan MarinoMichele Perniola & Anita SimonciniChain of lights
35SerbiaSerbiaBojana StamenovBeauty never lies
36SloveniaSloveniaMaraayaHere for you
37SpainSpainEdurneAmanecer
38SwedenSwedenMåns ZelmerlöwHeroes
39SwitzerlandSwitzerlandMélanie RenéTime to shine
40United KingdomUnited KingdomElectro VelvetStill in love with you

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