The Winner Estimate of ESC 2024

Sweden

Malmö, Sweden
7th, 9th & 11th May


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Info page of 2024
Pre-chart of 2024
National jury score 2024

The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2018-2023 (LUX 1989-1993): based on Average placings, last 5 finals (25th March)
- 20% of points based on the National Jury Score 2024, based on Pre-chart (5th May)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (5th May)
- 20% of points based on the views and streams MOST WATCHED and SPOTIFY STREAMS (5th May)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (5th May)

See how we estimated last year!

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Winner Estimate 2024

(real results in brackets)

final update 5th May 2024

POSFINALSEMI1SEMI2 COUNTRYHISTORYPRE-CHARTODDSSTREAMSEXPERTISETOTAL
11 (3)1 (2)-UkraineUkraine+23
22 (7)--ItalyItaly+23
33 (1)-1 (4)SwitzerlandSwitzerland+22
44 (5)-2 (1)IsraelIsrael+20
55 (2)2 (1)-CroatiaCroatia+19
66 (DQ)-3 (2)NetherlandsNetherlands+16
77 (4)--FranceFrance+14
88 (11)-4 (5)GreeceGreece+13
99 (24)-5 (9)AustriaAustria+13
1010 (-)-6 (13)BelgiumBelgium+12
1111 (9)--SwedenSweden+11
1212 (14)3 (4)-LithuaniaLithuania+11
1313 (8)-7 (3)ArmeniaArmenia+8
1414 (18)--United KingdomUnited Kingdom+7
1515 (25)-8 (10)NorwayNorway+5
1616 (15)4 (6)-CyprusCyprus+4
1717 (6)5 (3)-IrelandIreland+1
1818 (19)6 (7)-FinlandFinland0
1919 (12)--GermanyGermany-1
2020 (20)-9 (6)EstoniaEstonia-1
2121 (22)--SpainSpain-2
2222 (-)-10 (12)DenmarkDenmark-3
2323 (-)7 (14)-AzerbaijanAzerbaijan-3
2424 (13)8 (5)-LuxembourgLuxembourg-4
2525 (23)9 (9)-SloveniaSlovenia-5
2626 (-)10 (12)-PolandPoland-7
27- (-)-11 (11)CzechiaCzechia-7
28- (-)11 (11)-AustraliaAustralia-8
29- (17)12 (10)-SerbiaSerbia-10
30- (-)-12 (16)MaltaMalta-13
31- (-)13 (13)-MoldovaMoldova-14
32- (10)14 (8)-PortugalPortugal-15
33- (-)15 (15)-IcelandIceland-16
34- (21)-13 (8)GeorgiaGeorgia-16
35- (16)-14 (7)LatviaLatvia-18
36- (-)-15 (15)AlbaniaAlbania-19
37- (-)-16 (14)San MarinoSan Marino-21
Q = qualified

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2018-2023) counts

#1 Ukraine: alyona alyona & Jerry Heil#2 Italy: Angelina Mango#3 Switzerland: Nemo


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Here are the entries in ESC 2023:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaBesa KokëdhimaTitan
2ArmeniaLadanivaJako
3AustraliaElectric FieldsOne milkali (one blood)
4AustriaKaleenWe will rave
5AzerbaijanFAHREE feat. Ilkin DavlatovÖzünlə apar
6BelgiumMustiiBefore the party's over
7CroatiaBaby LasagnaRim tim tagi dim
8CyprusSilia KapsisLiar
9CzechiaAikoPedestal
10DenmarkSabaSand
11Estonia5miinust & Puuluup(nendest) narkootikumidest ei tea me (küll) midagi
12FinlandWindows95manNo rules!
13FranceSlimaneMon amour
14GeorgiaNutsa BuzaladzeFirefighter
15GermanyIsaakAlways on the run
16GreeceMarina SattiZari
17IcelandHera BjörkScared of heights
18IrelandBambie ThugDoomsday blues
19IsraelEden GolanHurricane
20ItalyAngelina MangoLa noia
21LatviaDonsHollow
22LithuaniaSilvester BeltLuktelk
23LuxembourgTaliFighter
24MaltaSarah BonniciLoop
25MoldovaNatalia BarbuIn the middle
26NetherlandsJoost KleinEuropapa
27NorwayGåteUlveham
28PolandLunaThe tower
29PortugalIolandaGrito
30San MarinoMegara11:11
31SerbiaTeya DoraRamonda
32SloveniaRaivenVeronika
33SpainNebulossaZorra
34SwedenMarcus & MartinusUnforgettable
35SwitzerlandNemoThe code
36Ukrainealyona alyona & Jerry HeilTeresa & Maria
37United KingdomOlly AlexanderDizzy

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