The Winner Estimate of ESC 2023

Ukraine

Liverpool, United Kingdom
9th, 11th & 13th May

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The estimate will be counted:

- 20% of points based on the recent history placings 2017-2022: based on Average placings in finals 2004-2022 (19th March)
- 20% of points based on the Pre-chart 2023 (30th April)
- 20% of points based on the betting odds: ODDSCHECKER.COM (6th May)
- 20% of points based on the streams YOUTUBE & SPOTIFY STREAMS (1st May)
- 20% of points based on ESCSTATS expertise (staging, live singing, choreography, dresses, hype, etc.) (7th May)

See how we estimated last year!

Info page of 2023
Pre-chart of 2023

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Winner Estimate 2023

(real results in brackets)

final update 8th May 2023 (the results 16th May)

POSFINALSEMI1SEMI2 COUNTRYHISTORYPRE-CHARTODDSSTREAMSEXPERTISETOTAL
11 (1)1 (2)-SwedenSweden+25
22 (5)2 (6)-NorwayNorway+23
33 (16)--FranceFrance+23
44 (4)--ItalyItaly+23
55 (2)3 (1)-FinlandFinland+16
66 (3)4 (3)-IsraelIsrael+16
77 (25)--United KingdomUnited Kingdom+15
88 (10)5 (4)-Czech RepublicCzech Republic+13
99 (17)--SpainSpain+11
1010 (6)--UkraineUkraine+11
1111 (18)6 (5)-MoldovaMoldova+10
1212 (15)-1 (2)AustriaAustria+10
1313 (14)-2 (6)ArmeniaArmenia+8
1414 (24)7 (10)-SerbiaSerbia+8
1515 (12)-3 (7)CyprusCyprus+7
1616 (13)8 (8)-CroatiaCroatia+5
1717 (20)9 (7)-SwitzerlandSwitzerland+4
1818 (19)-4 (3)PolandPoland+3
1919 (23)10 (9)-PortugalPortugal+3
2020 (21)-5 (5)SloveniaSlovenia+2
2121 (9)-6 (1)AustraliaAustralia+1
2222 (26)--GermanyGermany-1
23-11 (13)-NetherlandsNetherlands-1
2423 (7)-7 (8)BelgiumBelgium-4
2524 (8)-8 (10)EstoniaEstonia-7
2625 (-)-9 (14)DenmarkDenmark-8
27-12 (14)-AzerbaijanAzerbaijan-9
2826 (-)-10 (11)IcelandIceland-9
29- (11)-11 (4)LithuaniaLithuania-9
30--12 (13)GreeceGreece-11
31--13 (12)GeorgiaGeorgia-12
32- (22)-14 (9)AlbaniaAlbania-16
33-13 (11)-LatviaLatvia-17
34-14 (15)-MaltaMalta-17
35-15 (12)-IrelandIreland-17
36--15 (16)RomaniaRomania-22
37--16 (15)San MarinoSan Marino-24
Q = qualified

- if there's a tie, better points counts in this order: ESCSTATS expertise, streams, betting odds, pre-chart and history
- if there's still a tie, better average placing (2017-2022) counts

#1 Sweden: Loreen#2 Norway: Alessandra#3 France: La Zarra


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Here are the entries in ESC 2023:

# COUNTRYPERFORMER(S)TITLE
1AlbaniaAlbina & Familja KelmendiDuje
2ArmeniaBrunetteFuture lover
3AustraliaVoyagerPromise
4AustriaTeya & SalenaWho the hell is Edgar
5AzerbaijanTuralTuranXTell me more
6BelgiumGustaphBecause of you
7CroatiaLet 3Mama ŠČ!
8CyprusAndrew LambrouBreak a broken heart
9CzechiaVesnaMy sister's crown
10DenmarkReileyBreaking my heart
11EstoniaAlikaBridges
12FinlandKššrijšCha cha cha
13FranceLa Zarra…videmment
14GeorgiaIruEcho
15GermanyLord of the LostBlood and glitter
16GreeceVictor VernicosWhat they say
17IcelandDiljŠPower
18IrelandWild YouthWe are one
19IsraelNoa KirelUnicorn
20ItalyMarco MengoniDue vite
21LatviaSudden LightsAijā
22LithuaniaMonika LinkytėStay
23MaltaThe BuskerDance (our own party)
24MoldovaPasha ParfeniSoarele şi luna
25NetherlandsMia Nicolai & Dion CooperBurning daylight
26NorwayAlessandraQueen of kings
27PolandBlankaSolo
28PortugalMimicatAi coraç„o
29RomaniaTheodor AndreiD.G.T. (Off and on)
30San MarinoPiqued JacksLike an animal
31SerbiaLuke BlackSamo mi se spava
32SloveniaJoker OutCarpe diem
33SpainBlanca PalomaEaea
34SwedenLoreenTattoo
35SwitzerlandRemo ForrerWatergun
36UkraineTVORCHIHeart of steel
37United KingdomMae MullerI wrote a song

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